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Showing posts with label market forecast. Show all posts
Showing posts with label market forecast. Show all posts

Sunday, February 24, 2013

Microwave PtMP backhaul equipment market is expected to surpass US$ 300 million by 2017


Microwave PtMP  backhaul equipment market is expected to surpass US$ 300 million by 2017
PtMP licensed backhaul equipment is still in contention as a high-capacity technology for small cell backhaul
Athens, Greece and London, UK, 22 February 2013 – Point to Multipoint (PtMP) microwave backhaul shipments decreased 6% in Q4 2012 over Q1 2012, but a sustainable two-digit Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) is forecasted by 2017, according to ExelixisNet’s latest report, “PtMP Backhaul Market for LTE and small cells”.
The relentless demand for network backhaul capacity is making mobile operators consider every possible option for efficient, sustainable backhaul solutions. Licensed point to multi-point microwave solutions continued to make inroads as an alternative to conventional wireless backhaul albeit a major European network breakthrough has still not occurred. Concerns over interference, spectrum availability and service guarantee issues, continue to present barriers for widespread adoption for PtMP. The breakthrough may not be that far away however with many operators looking seriously at PtMP solutions for small cell backhaul. “The new all-outdoor licensed-band radios look very efficient and competitive, even in the emerging 42 GHz band, compared to the NLOS solutions,  and are expected to become a key asset for backhaul links between lamp posts and the sides of buildings where small cells will be installed,” said Elias Aravantinos, author of the report and ExelixisNet Leading Analyst. The new outdoor small cell PtmP solutions will be tested during 2013 not only to prove whether they can deliver ease of installation, attractive form factor, and improved traffic handling benefits but also to evaluate whether the predicted lower overall cost of ownership (TCO) can be realized.
The wireless PtMP backhaul equipment market is expected to surpass US$300 million by 2017, almost 3-fold growth from 2012 to 2017. ExelixisNet believes the overall PtMP wireless backhaul equipment market growth will reach its profitable peak early 2014, even 5-fold growth as a really high forecast, as the PtmP solutions could serve the small cell market’s uptake in a very satisfying, efficient and economic level, as described in the report.
Drawing from in-depth interviews with backhaul vendors and operators worldwide, the report provides a detailed look at licensed microwave PtMP backhaul technology, spectrum, and investment and market trends.
Selected Key Findings:
  • Middle East is the fastest growing region for Ptmp microwave shipments between 2011 and 2012
  • Africa maintained a continuous demand pace between 2011 and 2012, but Latin America is expected to uptake in the next 5-years
  • Shipments of radios in the 26GHz band represented 47% of total shipments in H2 2011, a surprising increase of 100% from the previous half
  • Lack of progress is observed in European Markets
  • CBNL managed to maintain 50% of the market share mainly due to strong ongoing business in the Middle East and Africa.
  • Intracom Telecom’s innovative small cell backhaul solution is expected to become a key player in the near future
  • Hughes and its satellite solutions remain very attractive especially when securing communication during natural disasters
  • Bluwan managed to turn the spinoff into a sustainable companyand a key player in delivering high speed and high capacity Point to Multipoint wireless backhaul
ExelixisNet is a global consulting firm focusing on LTE and broadband wireless technologies, regulation and other technologies and markets.
Press Contact:
Elias Aravantinos, Leading Analyst
Email: 
earavantinos@exelixisnet.com
Tel: (+30)6949732009

Saturday, June 2, 2012

PMP may solve the small cells challenge in the near future


Mobile operators around the world are watching the exponential growth of mobile data usage that demands solutions and a corresponding need for mobile backhaul infrastructure. Usually, the time consuming installation of fiber and its higher cost within urban environments, render traditional fiber backhaul impractical in many cases. Therefore, microwave presents a compelling cost-effective alternative. This is noticeably evident in the developed mobile broadband markets of EMEA and APAC, where carrier competition and increasing bandwidth use are strategic drivers.
Despite the dominant role of traditional point-to-point microwave (PTP) today due to the advantages of performance and capacity, there are many other viable solutions available to support the small cells and access network. For example, millimeter wave equipment could also a good alternative in the near future by solving the backhaul challenge. All outdoor point-to-multipoint (PMP) radios with carrier-grade capabilities are also expected to become a key asset for backhaul links between lamp posts and the sides of buildings where small cells will be installed. In principle, the carrier grade links will allow small cells connectivity via only one-hop in the backhaul and also re-use existing infrastructure, for example connect directly to the point of presence (PoP). Regarding savings, PMP links promise significant OpEx and CapEx reduction over PTP when deployed in medium to short distances, below 2.5km. However, the business case for small cells has yet to be fully demonstrated.
At the end of 2011, Maravedis Research sized the wireless point-to-multipoint (PMP) backhaul equipment revenues market at more than $1 billion by 2016, up from an estimated $200 million in 2011. Maravedis believes the overall PMP wireless backhaul market growth will kick-start in late 2013, driven by the increasing number of commercial LTE deployments combined with the small cell market escalation.
Today, there is a high level of PMP testing activity from operators with several projects running worldwide, anticipating the PMP solution's appeal and the small cells fit. Operators' focus on backhaul is driven by their need to identify new solutions that add more capacity. There were several discussions held on this topic during the recent backhaul event in Berlin at the 14th Transport Networks for Mobile Operators (TNMO), an EMEA's leading specialist forum for mobile backhaul, RAN and core transport networking professionals.
Orange France (operator) and Intracom Telecom (vendor) intensively discussed the topic along with Bluwan and Siklu during the TNMO event. The operator admitted that PMP gains momentum, with improvements to the technology, cost reductions, evolution of RAN equipment to Ethernet interfaces, and small cell deployment. One of the difficulties that vendors and operators needed to overcome is to prove the PMP small cell business case which should be examined case by case. As Intracom Telecom believes, "there is no technology champion" for small cell backhauling and technology, synergies should be exploited to address effectively operator needs. France Telecom, that has a special focus on microwave (group networks are around 80 percent microwave based), grabbed the opportunity to discuss the pros and cons of PMP technology. There was a special weight on the pros; the spectrum license fees can make very significant savings, depending on the country, but also traffic type can affect aggregation efficiency (E1, Ethernet, Wi-Fi backhaul, etc). Furthermore, they highlighted ease to add new sites and the potential savings from reduced maintenance costs (less equipment and lower power consumption). In the cons, a potential item identified was that costs can vary significantly depending on the deployment scenario, green field or swap out. Overall, the operator was keen on the PMP technology, describing deployment and hardware challenges. Among the challenges which operators are facing is that All Outdoor/Zero footprint equipment is not always "Plug and Play." That includes cases with only optical traffic connections and separate power cables supported with non-standard PoE or no lightning protection if directly connected.
A very attractive PMP solution that was a good fit for operator's specs, was that presented by Intracom Telecom, the only vendor supporting both PTP at MW and millimeter bands as wells as PMP integrated transmission platforms. Specifically, the vendor proposed PMP backhaul for small cells following medium to short range (up to 2.5km) and Gigabit sector capacity (4Gb Base station), suggesting scalable and easy installation and dynamic bandwidth allocation per small cell. One of the best rated PMP solutions depending on spectrum availability and Line of Sight (LOS) presence was proposed for the 26/28 GHz frequency bands usually available in most countries. Among the main advantages is the backhaul optimization achievement but also a low-cost solution over the PTP, especially the technology synergies between PMP and E-Band that can achieve a complete mobile backhaul solution. Bluwan discussed a different solution in the 42 GHz presenting the PMP millimeter wave aspect aiming to add high capacity in the Gbps range. Intracom Telecom and Siklu agreed that the 60 GHz (unlicensed) solution is also one of the best rated for small cells with a very small form factor, low cost and higher capacities but also LOS with precise alignment.
In 2012, PMP vendors will continue improving products, testing and demos to prove the essence for more PMP links. More investment is expected to flow in order to accomplish that, but also new movers and shakers might arise driving strategic acquisitions. Competition will lead to higher microwave radio capacity, smaller footprints and efficient management capabilities that will become increasingly important in proving and winning large contracts with mobile operators--mainly in Africa, the Middle East and Latin America and even new markets such as Australia. Although PMP is not the dominant backhaul technology of today, it is expected to rise, playing an important role in the network in 2012 and beyond, supporting the evolution of small cells.


Source: Maravedis: PMP may solve the small cells challenge in the near future - FierceBroadbandWireless http://www.fiercebroadbandwireless.com/story/maravedis-pmp-may-solve-small-cells-challenge-near-future/2012-06-01#ixzz1wdbyH8eC